Rating for the draft

For the draft I developed a rating based on linear weights. The basic idea was to predict run production for batters & run surrender for pitchers. I did not use SB, CS, (AB-H), or GIDP. I simply tallied the ranges on each side for 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, & HBP.

I computed ratings vs. each side, then combined them according to the average number of arms/bats faced. This was not a very good choice, an opinion that the Commish shared. Next time I’ll use weights that also depend on the bat/arm of the player. That is, instead of just saying that a pitcher faces a righty bat 59% of the time, I’ll take into account that a lefty pitcher faces a righty bat 73% of the time, while a righty pitcher faces a righty bat 54% of the time.

Deeps and power were accounted for by using some of the Deep Engine work. Pitcher symbols B, H, R, & L were taken into account.

Things not taken into account:

  • defense
  • speed
  • double plays
  • pitcher symbol F
  • stamina
  • age
  • injury

For the draft I rated the 15 keeps and about half the free agents, who were selected by simply eye-balling the cards quickly.

Here’s the list of batter ratings. First, all batters are listed, followed by separate lists for each position. The columns are:

  1. name,
  2. position(s),
  3. overall rating,
  4. rating vs. righty arms,
  5. rating vs. lefty arms.

Here’s the list of pitcher ratings, separated into starters, shorts, longs, & closers. The columns are:

  1. name,
  2. arm,
  3. stamina/relief
  4. symbols,
  5. overall rating,
  6. rating vs. righty bats,
  7. rating vs. lefty bats.

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