For the draft I developed a rating based on linear weights. The basic idea was to predict run production for batters & run surrender for pitchers. I did not use SB, CS, (AB-H), or GIDP. I simply tallied the ranges on each side for 1B, 2B, 3B, HR, BB, & HBP.
I computed ratings vs. each side, then combined them according to the average number of arms/bats faced. This was not a very good choice, an opinion that the Commish shared. Next time I’ll use weights that also depend on the bat/arm of the player. That is, instead of just saying that a pitcher faces a righty bat 59% of the time, I’ll take into account that a lefty pitcher faces a righty bat 73% of the time, while a righty pitcher faces a righty bat 54% of the time.
Deeps and power were accounted for by using some of the Deep Engine work. Pitcher symbols B, H, R, & L were taken into account.
Things not taken into account:
- defense
- speed
- double plays
- pitcher symbol F
- stamina
- age
- injury
For the draft I rated the 15 keeps and about half the free agents, who were selected by simply eye-balling the cards quickly.
Here’s the list of batter ratings. First, all batters are listed, followed by separate lists for each position. The columns are:
- name,
- position(s),
- overall rating,
- rating vs. righty arms,
- rating vs. lefty arms.
Here’s the list of pitcher ratings, separated into starters, shorts, longs, & closers. The columns are:
- name,
- arm,
- stamina/relief
- symbols,
- overall rating,
- rating vs. righty bats,
- rating vs. lefty bats.