{"id":224,"date":"2008-10-02T17:54:36","date_gmt":"2008-10-03T00:54:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=224"},"modified":"2008-10-02T18:02:04","modified_gmt":"2008-10-03T01:02:04","slug":"perfectos-hitting-lousy-batters-or-lousy-dice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=224","title":{"rendered":"Perfectos hitting: lousy batters or lousy dice?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the regular season progressed, it seemed clear that several of the Titusville batters were underperforming. Rollins, Blalock, &#038; Howard were all hovering around the Mendoza line. Run production was near the bottom of the league. What was going on?<\/p>\n<p>With the end of the regular season, I can analyze this using the Legend&#8217;s excellent stats. I looked at the performance of my regulars compared to their 2007 MLB performance. (2007 MLB = 2008 ABL) I&#8217;ll assume that TPB is accurate in reproducing replay stats. I&#8217;ll select OPS (On-Base plus Slugging) as my metric, and I&#8217;ll include batters with more than about 90 ABs.<\/p>\n<p>The Perfectos regulars lagged an average of 131 points below their MLB levels. Ouch! (Complete numbers are after the jump.) Rollins, Blalock, &#038; Howard were all 200 points below. Ludwick &#038; Castro weren&#8217;t much better. Only Pat Burrell managed to beat his MLB number.<\/p>\n<p>OK, it&#8217;s not surprising that the ABL numbers are lower, since the batters are facing the cream of MLB pitching in the ABL. Is Titusville&#8217;s lag seen on other ABL squads? I ran the numbers for a few teams, some good, some not so good. No one comes close to Titusville&#8217;s underperformance. They range from -67 for St. Augustine to -38 for Tallahassee.<\/p>\n<p>I looked for patterns, like sluggers doing worse than singles hitters, but I didn&#8217;t see anything.<\/p>\n<p>Could the Perfectos from the Phillies be hurting because they play in a small MLB park? Doesn&#8217;t seem so. Howard did awful in the ABL, but Burrell did good.<\/p>\n<p>So, maybe I&#8217;m wrong, but it sure seems like the Titusville batters got lousy rolls during the 2008 ABL season.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><img src='http:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/ops_diff_2008.png' alt='ops_diff_2008.png' \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the regular season progressed, it seemed clear that several of the Titusville batters were underperforming. Rollins, Blalock, &#038; Howard were all hovering around the Mendoza line. Run production was near the bottom of the league. What was going on? With the end of the regular season, I can analyze this using the Legend&#8217;s excellent &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=224\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Perfectos hitting: lousy batters or lousy dice?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-224","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-abl"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=224"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/224\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=224"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=224"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=224"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}