{"id":191,"date":"2008-05-27T17:08:55","date_gmt":"2008-05-28T00:08:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=191"},"modified":"2008-05-27T19:14:50","modified_gmt":"2008-05-28T02:14:50","slug":"abl-at-the-all-star-break-pythagorean-winning-percentage","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=191","title":{"rendered":"ABL at the All Star Break: Pythagorean winning percentage"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Pythagorean_expectation\">Pythagorean winning percentage<\/a> is a measure developed by Bill James to estimate a team&#8217;s winning percentage based on runs scored and runs against. (It was named after <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Pythagoras\">Pythagoras<\/a>, the famed Greek Sabermatrician.) <\/p>\n<p>At the half-way point of the ABL regular season, the Pythagorean winning percentages are listed below. (I used the 1.83 exponent used by <a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseball-reference.com\/about\/faq.shtml#pyth\">Baseball Reference<\/a>.) The results are sorted by Pythagorean wins, the number of wins expected based on the runs scored and runs against. <\/p>\n<p><img src='http:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-4.png' alt='picture-4.png' \/><\/p>\n<p>The difference between the actual wins and the Pythagorean wins is a measure of how &#8220;lucky&#8221; a team was. It indicates the teams that scored their runs in the situations that won games. And the teams that didn&#8217;t. Sorted by Pythagorean win difference, the table below shows the lucky teams at the top and the unlucky ones at the bottom.<\/p>\n<p><img src='http:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/picture-3.png' alt='picture-3.png' \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Pythagorean winning percentage is a measure developed by Bill James to estimate a team&#8217;s winning percentage based on runs scored and runs against. (It was named after Pythagoras, the famed Greek Sabermatrician.) At the half-way point of the ABL regular season, the Pythagorean winning percentages are listed below. (I used the 1.83 exponent used &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/?p=191\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">ABL at the All Star Break: Pythagorean winning percentage<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-abl","category-stats"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=191"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/191\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=191"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=191"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.mfooz.com\/bblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=191"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}